Regime & CyclePRO

Directional Bias

Analyzes BTC's daily chart structure (swing highs/lows + EMA stack) to determine the market-wide directional bias. When BTC is in a confirmed downtrend, it blocks long signals across all coins.

What is this scanner?

Analyzes BTC's daily chart structure (swing highs/lows + EMA stack) to determine the market-wide directional bias. When BTC is in a confirmed downtrend, it blocks long signals across all coins.

The Directional Bias scanner operates across 1d timeframes and refreshes every 300 seconds, ensuring you see fresh signals as conditions develop.

Origin & History

Regime detection has its roots in Hamilton's Markov Switching Models (1989) and has become central to adaptive strategy allocation in quantitative finance.

The QSA implementation of Directional Bias builds on this foundation with quantitative thresholds calibrated specifically for crypto perpetual futures markets. The 24/7 nature of crypto trading and the unique dynamics of DEX markets like Hyperliquid require different parameters than traditional market approaches.

Detection Criteria

Price Analysis

Price action analysis — evaluates candle patterns, trend structure, and key level proximity.

Ema Analysis

Exponential Moving Averages — tracks trend direction and dynamic support/resistance levels.

Swing structure Analysis

Evaluates swing_structure data to identify qualifying patterns and confirm signal validity.

Grading Breakdown

S

Textbook directional bias signal with 4+ domain categories confirming, rare category multipliers contributing, and strong regime alignment. These represent the top 1-2% of signals.

A

Strong directional bias signal with 3+ categories confirming. Good domain diversity and meaningful rarity bonuses from contributing scanners.

B

Valid directional bias detection with 2-3 confirming categories. The core pattern is present but lacks the depth of confirmation needed for higher grades.

C

Single-category directional bias signal or one with limited domain diversity. Pattern detected but conviction is low — worth monitoring, not acting on alone.

Common Mistakes

Treating regime signals as direct trade triggers. Regime is context, not a setup — use it to filter other scanners.

Not adjusting strategy allocation when regime changes. Running momentum strategies during CHAOS is a recipe for losses.

Ignoring regime transitions. The shift from QUIET to NORMAL is often the most profitable period to be positioned.

Over-trading during CHAOS because volatility looks exciting. High volatility ≠ high probability.

How to Trade

Entry Context

Use regime context to filter other scanners. In QUIET regimes, prioritize breakout scanners. In NORMAL, all strategies are viable. In CHAOS, reduce size or wait.

Risk Management

Adjust position sizes by regime state. QUIET: normal size. NORMAL: normal to slightly larger. CHAOS: 50% size or sit out. This single rule dramatically improves risk-adjusted returns.

Target Framework

Target expectations vary by regime. QUIET-to-NORMAL transitions produce the largest moves. NORMAL trends are steady and predictable. CHAOS is binary — take profits quickly if profitable.

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This is not a prediction of future price movement — it is a way to prioritize which setups deserve your analysis first.

QuantScan AI scans 500+ crypto perpetuals in real-time, 24/7. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.